Luxury Outlook | Grim and grimmer

LONDON, United Kingdom - In recent conversations with global luxury business leaders and American fashion entrepreneurs, young designer brands and fashion executives in the UK's high-street behemoths, the mood has been decidedly downbeat, with rapidly decreasing sales leading to increasingly desperate sale signs. Hiring freezes and spending cutbacks are in place almost across the board.  Emerging fashion businesses I have spoken to are reporting significant decreases in orders for Spring/Summer 2009. Orders are being cut back or canceled altogether and there are reports of fabric mills in Italy and manufacturers in China facing dire straits as the brakes are put on consumer spending around the world.  The sudden freeze in spending is a reaction to dramatic drops in the value…

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Luxury Outlook 2008 | How much padding does that luxury cushion have?

LONDON, United Kingdom - Conventional wisdom is that the luxury sector is cushioned from the ups and downs of the overall economy because its customers are amongst the "happy few" who aren't affected by such trivial matters as making mortgage payments and paying off credit card bills in the midst of a darkening macro-economic environment. But exactly how much padding does that luxury cushion have? According to Luca Solca of BernsteinResearch, not a lot. In his report "PPR: Worsening Macroeconomic Outlook points to slower Luxury Market Growth in 2008," published today, Solca asserts that there is a strong correlation  between the general economy and the luxury sector (R-squared = 66%). Therefore, any problems in the general economy are certain to spill…

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