Market Pulse | Resilience in the Face of Uncertainty
LONDON, United Kingdom — While the luxury industry entered 2012 with an overall outlook that remain uncertain, the sector remained resilient.
Big news
- The Savigny Luxury Index (SLI) lost 2.6 percent in December, whilst the general market index MSCI gained 3 percent over the period. The cause for this divergence was a temporary sell-off in luxury stocks in mid-December. Two factors contributed to this: the Italian sovereign debt crisis prompting an exodus from Italy-based stocks and the finalisation of Hermès’ defensive structure, which sent its share price down 7 percent in the days following the announcement.
- Despite treacherous capital market conditions, Michael Kors’ listing in New York on 15th December was a resounding success. Kors sold more shares than expected, achieving a valuation of close to $4 billion, or 3.8x LTM sales. Shares jumped 25 percent on their debut and have since climbed a further 8 percent.
- In contrast, the listing of Chinese jeweller Chow Tai Fook in Hong Kong on 9th December was received with lukewarm interest, which may be attributable to high valuation expectations.
- A Swiss court ruled that Swatch Group can cut down deliveries of watch parts to third parties from next year. This will create supply issues for a number of watch brands and has already prompted luxury groups such as PPR and LVMH to snap up small watch component manufacturers.
- LVMH announced it had increased its stake in Hermès from 21.4 percent to 22.3 percent, flying in the face of its shored-up defences. This caused the besieged group’s share price, having temporarily eased, to resume its upward course, gaining nearly 15 percent in the three weeks since its recent low








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