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Ulta Beauty’s Annual Profit Forecast Misses Estimates as Costs Climb

The company’s shares fell 4.5 percent in extended trading.
Ulta Beauty store, New York. Shutterstock.
Ulta Beauty now expects its annual operating margin to range between 14.0 percent and 14.3 percent. (Shutterstock)

Ulta Beauty on Thursday forecast full-year profit below Wall Street estimates after elevated supply chain costs and increased promotions hurt margins, sending its shares down 4.5 percent in extended trading.

Despite the beauty retailer’s efforts to boost sales through steep discounts, inflation-weary consumers cut back spending on discretionary items such as cosmetics and hair care products.

Although pressure from retail shrink, where inventory is lost or damaged due to theft and breakage, has risen over the past few years, it persists as a challenge for retailers with several companies flagging an impact on margins.

Ulta Beauty now expects its annual operating margin to range between 14.0 percent and 14.3 percent, down from 15.0 percent reported in 2023.

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The company forecast annual adjusted earnings per share between $26.20 and $27 per share, the mid-point of which fell below analysts’ average estimate of a profit of $27 per share, according to LSEG data.

It expects fiscal 2024 revenue to be between $11.7 billion and $11.8 billion, largely above LSEG estimates of $11.69 billion.

The beauty retailer reported a profit of $8.08 per share for the fourth quarter ended Feb. 3, compared with expectations of $7.53.

Quarterly revenue rose about 10 percent year-on-year to $3.6 billion, ahead of analysts’ expectations of $3.53 billion.

Shares of the Illinois-based company hit an intra-day record high on Thursday before closing down at $565.44. The stock has surged around 15 percent in 2024.

By Annett Mary Manoj; Editing by Shweta Agarwal

Learn more:

Ulta Beauty Raises Annual Forecasts, Longtime CFO Settersten to Retire

Scott Settersten who has been with the company for nearly 20 years will be succeeded by Paula Oyibo, the company’s senior vice president of finance who joined in 2019.

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