Skip to main content
BoF Logo

The Business of Fashion

Agenda-setting intelligence, analysis and advice for the global fashion community.

Gap Shares Surge as Wall Street Praises Split With Old Navy

Gains in the stock set it up for its best day in more than 10 years and added about $2 billion to the company's market capitalisation.
Gap store | Source: Shutterstock
By
  • Reuters

SAN FRANCISCO, United States — Gap Inc. shares surged as much as 24 percent on Friday as a number of Wall Street analysts lauded the company's decision to separate its better-performing Old Navy brand.

The company, once a trendsetter with its casual logo-emblazoned hoodies to Khaki cargos, has struggled to keep pace with fast-fashion rivals such as Zara and H&M.

Old Navy has been the only bright spot for the company in the past few years, cushioning it from the weak performance of its namesake Gap and Banana Republic brands, where sales have also taken a hit from fewer additions of new designs.

"Separating Old Navy to a standalone company is what we have argued for over the past few years. Doing so allows the market to properly value Old Navy for its high margins and strong cash flows," Jefferies analyst Randal Konik said.

ADVERTISEMENT

Konik said separating Old Navy, which is the primary driver of profit for Gap, would also make the budget brand as attractive as off-price retailers such as TJX and Ross Stores.

"We are buyers," Konik said.

The gains in the stock set it up for its best day in more than 10 years and added about $2 billion to the company's market capitalisation.

Gap said on Thursday that Old Navy would be spun off to its shareholders, while the other entity will consist of the Gap brand, Athleta, BR, Intermix and Hill City.

"Santa didn't bring the sales but brought Old Navy spin instead," RBC's analyst Kate Fitzsimons said.

At least four brokerages raised their price target on the stock, with Telsey making the most bullish move by raising its price by $6 to $40, well above the median of $30.

The company also said it would close hundreds of underperforming Gap stores in the next two years and would increase investments in its online business as they try to adapt to a more modern retail environment.

It has already shut its massive flagship store on Fifth Avenue in New York earlier this year.

ADVERTISEMENT

On a post-earnings call with analysts on Thursday, chief executive Art Peck said the company would focus on quality, fit and style of apparel that today's consumer needs, with special focus on denim to boost the Gap brand.

The company also said it plans to invest more in fleece for spring, summer and fall seasons.

At Old Navy, the fashion is already more resonant with the latest styles, with blouses and dresses priced as cheap as $30.

"You can have confidence that we definitely boil the ocean in looking at all the combinations and permutations here ... We settled on this largely due to the business logic at the end of the day," Peck said referring to the split.

While analysts were encouraged by Thursday's announcement, some said concerns around the company's money-losing Gap brand would remain.

"While we are encouraged by the decision, we would note the company's brands continue to face intense competitive pressure, particularly in the US," Guggenheim analyst Robert Drbul said.

Gap's shares lost a fifth of their value in the past 12 months, while the broader S&P 500 Apparel Retail index rose 13 percent.

By Nivedita Balu; editors: Sweta Singh and Saumyadeb Chakrabarty.

© 2024 The Business of Fashion. All rights reserved. For more information read our Terms & Conditions

More from Retail
Analysis and advice from the front lines of the retail transformation.

Op-Ed | How Long Can Adidas Surf the ‘Terrace’ Trend?

As a push to maximise sales of its popular Samba model starts to weigh on its desirability, the German sportswear giant is betting on other retro sneaker styles to tap surging demand for the 1980s ‘Terrace’ look. But fashion cycles come and go, cautions Andrea Felsted.


How Rent the Runway Came Back From the Brink

The rental platform saw its stock soar last week after predicting it would hit a key profitability metric this year. A new marketing push and more robust inventory are the key to unlocking elusive growth, CEO Jenn Hyman tells BoF.


view more

Subscribe to the BoF Daily Digest

The essential daily round-up of fashion news, analysis, and breaking news alerts.

The Business of Fashion

Agenda-setting intelligence, analysis and advice for the global fashion community.
CONNECT WITH US ON
The Business of Beauty Global Awards - Deadline 30 April 2024
© 2024 The Business of Fashion. All rights reserved. For more information read our Terms & Conditions, Privacy Policy, Cookie Policy and Accessibility Statement.
The Business of Beauty Global Awards - Deadline 30 April 2024