The Business of Fashion
Agenda-setting intelligence, analysis and advice for the global fashion community.
Agenda-setting intelligence, analysis and advice for the global fashion community.
Luxury sales could return to 2019 levels as soon as this year after contracting for the first time in more than a decade in 2020, consultancy Bain and Italian luxury industry association Altagamma said in their closely watched industry forecast published Monday.
While the outlook for this year remains uncertain, in a bullish scenario, a surprisingly exuberant recovery in the first quarter is sustained. That could help the market reach, and even exceed, 2019 levels with a valuation of between €280 to €295 billion ($340 billion to $358 billion), the report said.
More likely though, the strong momentum at the start of this year will be tempered by limited travel and slower domestic luxury purchases, postponing a full recovery until next year, it added. That leaves the luxury market with a value of between €250 to €265 billion in 2021, according to the report’s projections.
The report identified a number of key trends driving the market: China’s appetite for luxury remains “insatiable,” but there are signs of recovery across all consumer nationalities; the US in particular seems poised for a “roaring ’20s” that could reshape the luxury landscape. Meanwhile Europe is lagging other markets.
Online sales also remain robust, with Bain estimating more than 85 percent of luxury purchases were digitally influenced this year. And there are opportunities in new markets, too. The luxury second-hand market grew to €28 billion last year from €26 billion in 2019, according to Bain.
Joan Kennedy is Editorial Associate at The Business of Fashion. She is based in New York and covers beauty and marketing.
The luxury goods maker is seeking pricing harmonisation across the globe, and adjusts prices in different markets to ensure that the company is”fair to all [its] clients everywhere,” CEO Leena Nair said.
Hermes saw Chinese buyers snap up its luxury products as the Kelly bag maker showed its resilience amid a broader slowdown in demand for the sector.
The group’s flagship Prada brand grew more slowly but remained resilient in the face of a sector-wide slowdown, with retail sales up 7 percent.
The guidance was issued as the French group released first-quarter sales that confirmed forecasts for a slowdown. Weak demand in China and poor performance at flagship Gucci are weighing on the group.